Two Zones, Two Housing Goods

Split the growth boundary into house-zoned and apartment-zoned land, pick a density, and watch rezoning windfalls, substitution between markets, and charge incidence update live.

Speculative preview: Michael Wiebe’s part 2 isn’t published yet. This page builds the extension he trailed — “two zones (house- and apartment-zoning), two housing goods (houses and apartments)” — with our own guesses for the demand system. When the real part 2 lands, we’ll reconcile this page against it.
Regime
H binding · A binding
same regime as baseline
Total homes
210.0
no change
Apartment share of homes
57%
no change
House price
138.0
no change
Apartment price (per unit)
86.0
no change
House–apartment price gap
52.0
no change
House-parcel value · before LVT
58.0
no change
Apartment-parcel value · before LVT
64.0
no change
Rezoning windfall (next parcel, H→A)
6.0
no change
Landowner receipts · after LVT (total)
7,140
no change
LVT revenue collected (total)
0
no change

House market

Residual demand given apartment supply

Demand Supply Baseline

Apartment market

Residual demand given house supply · quantities in units

Demand Supply Baseline

What happens as you rezone houses → apartments?

x = apartment-zoned parcels, total Q̄ fixed

House price Apartment price House-parcel land value Apartment-parcel land value

The first rezoned parcels capture a large own-parcel windfall; broad rezoning competes it away while lowering prices.

What happens as allowed density rises?

x = homes allowed per apartment parcel, k

House price Apartment price Total homes

Where one buyer dollar goes

Per home; houses versus apartment units, current versus pinned baseline

The default two-zone city